Good morning, Mission, and welcome to Virus Village, your (considerably common) Covid-19 information dump.
Regardless of all the fear over the brand new variant, the previous variant seems to be again in enterprise, as instances rose greater than 25 p.c between Wednesday’s report and right this moment’s. Hospitalizations have been largely static over the week, and positivity charges truly declined, whereas R Quantity estimates proceed to counsel the the virus unfold is growing.
On the omicron entrance, researchers continue to report high spread and low severity, nevertheless it’s far too quickly to inform if that’s true or what it means. Whether or not it’s omicron or delta, as the Atlantic reports, for vaccinated and unvaccinated alike it could be a grim winter.
With out consulting their panels of specialists, the U.S. Facilities for Illness Management and the Meals and Drug Administration have given approval to boost teenagers aged 16-17. Although there’s widespread settlement {that a} booster will assist the aged and immunocompromised, there is little data as to whether it makes a difference for the young and healthy. The CDC has printed Pfizer booster data (pre-omicron) on its web site.
It is going to be fascinating to look at the talk over a fourth shot, particularly for omicron. Dr. Fauci, for one, appears to assume it will not be necessary. Alternatively, highly effective forces are already ramping up their gross sales pitch.
White Home Press Secretary Jen Psaki ridiculed the idea of sending free speedy exams to U.S. residents, as is completed in different nations. Why? Too costly. One outstanding promoter of speedy exams claims that “that the unfold of Covid-19 could possibly be dramatically curtailed if simply half of the U.S. inhabitants examined themselves each 4 days with at-home speedy kits that would price the U.S. authorities as little as $5 billion.”
Scroll down for right this moment’s covid numbers.
The U.S. Facilities for Illness Management information used for the chart lags behind the info equipped from the San Francisco Division of Public Well being. As of Dec. 9, DPH stories greater than 86 p.c of all San Francisco residents have obtained one dose, and 79 p.c have obtained two. For residents 5 and older, DPH stories the figures rise to 90 p.c and 83 p.c. SFDPH stories that as of Dec. 7, roughly 264,189 residents have obtained a COVID-19 booster dose together with 64 p.c of residents 65 and over. For info on the place to get vaccinated in and across the Mission, go to our Vaccination Page.
On Dec. 6, DPH stories there have been 34 covid hospitalizations, or about 3.9 per 100,000 (based mostly on an 874,000 inhabitants). ICU sufferers stays in single digits. DPH has launched no new info on hospitalizations amongst what was thought-about “totally vaxxed” for 2 months, saying it halted stories “as a result of we’re analyzing the info to make sure accuracy.” For September information see the latest from DPH.
The most recent report from the federal Division of Well being and Human Companies reveals Zuckerberg San Francisco Normal Hospital with 3 covid sufferers and 6 ICU beds obtainable, whereas throughout the Mission, CPMC had 5 covid sufferers and 5 ICU beds obtainable. Of 31 reported covid sufferers, 19 had been at both SFGH or UCSF, with a minimum of 77 ICU beds obtainable amongst reporting hospitals (which doesn’t embrace the Veterans Administration). The California DPH at present stories 73 ICU beds obtainable in San Francisco. SFDPH received’t say.
Observe: DPH makes use of dated inhabitants figures for neighborhoods. Between Oct. 6 and Dec. 5, DPH recorded 238 instances within the Mission or a fee of 40 per 10,000 residents. Throughout that interval, Sundown/Parkside had essentially the most instances (243), nevertheless it’s fee was 29 per 10,000. Of 38 neighborhoods, 17 had charges of 40 or extra per 10,000 residents. The Marina leads with a fee of 71 per 10,000 residents, the one neighborhood in extra of 55.
On Dec. 2, the 7-day common of each day new instances within the Metropolis was 69, or roughly 7.9 new instances per day per 100,000 residents (based mostly on an 874,000 inhabitants). The 7-day common case fee amongst vaccinated (not boosted) residents was 6.8 per 100,000 vaccinated residents and for unvaccinated residents, 14.9 per 100,000 unvaccinated residents.
DPH stories that amongst residents which have accomplished their major vaccine collection, about 47 p.c of White residents have obtained a booster dose, Asians 40 p.c, Blacks 29 p.c, Latinxs 26 p.c, Native People 26 p.c, and about 23 p.c of Pacific Islanders have obtained the booster.
For the month of November, Whites and Multi-racials recorded 2 p.c positivity, Latinxs 1.6 p.c, Blacks and Native People 1.4 p.c, Asians 1.2 p.c and Pacific Islanders had a November positivity fee of 1.1 p.c.
One other December covid-related dying has been reported, elevating the full to 679. To “guarantee accuracy,” DPH has not up to date deaths amongst vaccinated and unvaccinated since September. Of these San Franciscans who died of covid-related deaths, roughly 3 p.c had no underlying situations.
All fashions are at present displaying the San Francisco R Quantity properly over 1. Covid R Estimation has stored its San Francisco R Quantity at a comparatively excessive 1.34, and lowered its California R Quantity estimate a bit to 1.25. The ensemble has raised its common for the San Francisco R Quantity to 1.16 together with a median California R Quantity at 1.11.
Though there’s been a current change in case and dying information amongst inhabitants teams in SF, over the course of the pandemic, racial and ethnic minorities stay hardest hit by the virus. As of Dec. 5, Pacific Islanders have a case fee (based mostly on the group’s popuation) of 2,318 per 10,000 residents, Latinxs 1,401, Native People 1,089, Blacks 959, Whites 421 and Asians 334 per 10,000 residents.