Good morning, Mission, and welcome to Virus Village, your (considerably common) Covid-19 information dump.
An infection numbers, hospitalizations and positivity charges have been barely rising over the previous week, whereas R Quantity fashions present immediately a slight lower within the fee of transmission.
Yesterday’s Grand Rounds featured a dialogue on the evolution of the virus and what we are able to anticipate from fast exams. The Biden administration yesterday introduced new funding for more at-home rapid tests. I want they’d addressed the virus’ uncommon sample in San Francisco that has persevered for the final three weeks.
Regardless of the numbers, the massive information immediately is that San Francisco shall be loosening its indoor masking necessities subsequent week. Although it could be obscure which locations won’t require a masks, that is how the Mayor explains it. For the foreseeable future masks will nonetheless be required in eating places and bars (the place I’ve noticed only a few folks observe the principles to masks up between bites and sips).
It might even be obscure why the Metropolis is altering its coverage. The criteria for loosening the mask requirements are: 1. average transmission as decided by the U.S. Facilities for Illness Management; 2. 80 p.c of the overall inhabitants totally vaccinated; and three. hospitalizations low and secure. In keeping with the newest information, SF misses on the primary two, and the third is a judgement name.
Others supply different ideas (metrics) for emerging from the public health emergency.
Is the immunity offered by natural infection the same as the immunity you get from The Vaccine? Though an infection is assumed to confer a specific amount of immunity, nobody is sort of certain how a lot immunity, or how lengthy it’ll final. Since no firm income off pure immunity, few research have been completed on the topic, however here’s one published recently, concluding “[t]he protecting impact of prior SARS-CoV-2 an infection on re-infection is excessive and just like the protecting impact of vaccination,” however that extra analysis on period of safety and safety towards variants is required.
A new study out of Italy reveals that, seven months after the second dose, there is no such thing as a discount within the efficacy of COVID-19 mRNA vaccines within the common inhabitants, whereas a slight decline is seen for some particular teams. Nonetheless, current information suggests an mRna booster for those who received the Johnson & Johnson vaccine. In keeping with College of California, San Francisco physician Monica Gandhi, UCSF is already offering a booster “to anybody who had gotten Johnson & Johnson vaccines.”
Excellent news on the Dubs entrance: Andrew Wiggins bought vaccinated. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar has expanded his criticism of NBA stars who continue to refuse vaccination, calling out these like LeBron James and Draymond Inexperienced, who defend them.
Right here’s some extra explanation why virology labs that manipulate viruses ought to cease. Now.
And for many who suppose genetics, relatively than racial and revenue inequality, trigger well being inequities, it’s time to think again.
Scroll down for immediately’s covid numbers.
The U.S. Facilities for Illness Management information used for the chart lags behind the information provided from the San Francisco Division of Public Well being. As of Oct. 7, DPH reviews greater than 80 p.c of all San Francisco residents have acquired one dose, and 75 p.c are utterly vaccinated. New vaccinations, although low, carry on truckin’. On Oct. 7, the seven-day rolling common of pictures per day was 208. For info on the place to get vaccinated in and across the Mission, go to our Vaccination Page.
Are hospitalizations “decoupled” from instances? Since Sept. 15, hospitalizations have been fluctuating within the 60s, with ICU sufferers between 20 and 26. On Oct. 4, DPH reviews there have been 67 covid hospitalizations, or about 7.7 per 100,000 (based mostly on an 874,000 inhabitants). DPH says it has “briefly pausing our reporting of breakthrough hospitalizations and deaths to conduct a radical assessment of knowledge high quality and completeness.” In keeping with the CDC, there have been 43 new admissions for the week ending Oct. 5 (-14 p.c from the earlier week). For the week ending Oct. 5, covid sufferers accounted for 3.48 p.c of hospital beds (no change from the earlier week) and 8.82 p.c of ICU beds (no change from the earlier week). As of Sept. 27, the CDC says that, of greater than 183 million vaccinated U.S. residents, 22,115 sufferers with a covid vaccine breakthrough an infection had been hospitalized or died (although 17 p.c of deaths and 18 p.c of hospitalizations didn’t have signs of covid, or their hospitalization or demise was not covid-related).
After displaying San Francisco above 1, Covid R Estimation lowered its most up-to-date San Francisco R Quantity again to .96. It raised its present estimate for the California R quantity to .92. The ensemble additionally lowered its common San Francisco R Quantity to .85 whereas sustaining its California common at .84. Just one mannequin within the ensemble reveals the SF fee of transmission above 1.
As of October 1, DPH cites information from the SF Unified College District asserting 353 covid infectons out of practically 52,000 college students and practically 10,000 workers in public colleges. In personal, parochial and constitution colleges, there have been 127 instances out of practically 22,500 college students and practically 5,000 workers. DPH additionally says “The overwhelming majority of those infections are occurring outdoors of faculties” citing solely 18 “suspected in-school transmissions”.
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Positivity charges are based mostly on testing, however not all exams (like at-home fast exams) are counted. Whereas the variety of exams counted by the Metropolis is down from final winter, much more exams have been collected than final spring and summer season.
Covid-related deaths in San Francisco are all the time tough to determine. DPH added 5 extra deaths in September, bringing the Delta complete (August and September) to 68 to date, and the cumulative covid-related demise toll to 644. In keeping with DPH, over half the deaths had been amongst individuals over the age of 80 with practically all are over the age of 60. Lower than 3 p.c had no identified underlying situation. DPH has stopped reporting the vaccination standing of covid-related deaths.
After displaying San Francisco above 1, Covid R Estimation lowered its most up-to-date San Francisco R Quantity again to .96. It raised its present estimate for the California R quantity to .92. The ensemble additionally lowered its common San Francisco R Quantity to .85 whereas sustaining its California common at .84. Just one mannequin within the ensemble reveals the SF fee of transmission above 1.
As of October 1, DPH cites information from the SF Unified College District asserting 353 covid infectons out of practically 52,000 college students and practically 10,000 workers in public colleges. In personal, parochial and constitution colleges, there have been 127 instances out of practically 22,500 college students and practically 5,000 workers. DPH additionally says “The overwhelming majority of those infections are occurring outdoors of faculties” citing solely 18 “suspected in-school transmissions”.
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As of September 30, Whites have had 1,060 new instances within the month, Asians 647, Latinxs 551, Blacks 213, Multi-racials 51, Pacific Islanders 35 and Native Individuals 9 new instances.
Positivity charges are based mostly on testing, however not all exams (like at-home fast exams) are counted. Whereas the variety of exams counted by the Metropolis is down from final winter, much more exams have been collected than final spring and summer season.
Covid-related deaths in San Francisco are all the time tough to determine. DPH added 5 extra deaths in September, bringing the Delta complete (August and September) to 68 to date, and the cumulative covid-related demise toll to 644. In keeping with DPH, over half the deaths had been amongst individuals over the age of 80 with practically all are over the age of 60. Lower than 3 p.c had no identified underlying situation. DPH has stopped reporting the vaccination standing of covid-related deaths.
After displaying San Francisco above 1, Covid R Estimation lowered its most up-to-date San Francisco R Quantity again to .96. It raised its present estimate for the California R quantity to .92. The ensemble additionally lowered its common San Francisco R Quantity to .85 whereas sustaining its California common at .84. Just one mannequin within the ensemble reveals the SF fee of transmission above 1.
As of October 1, DPH cites information from the SF Unified College District asserting 353 covid infectons out of practically 52,000 college students and practically 10,000 workers in public colleges. In personal, parochial and constitution colleges, there have been 127 instances out of practically 22,500 college students and practically 5,000 workers. DPH additionally says “The overwhelming majority of those infections are occurring outdoors of faculties” citing solely 18 “suspected in-school transmissions”.
